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The central government has decided to adjust the fiscal policy for next year: increase the deficit, special national debt and special debt quota. According to CCTV news broadcast, the Central Economic Work Conference was held in Beijing from December 11th to 12th. When deploying the fiscal policy for next year, the meeting said that it is necessary to implement a more active fiscal policy, improve the fiscal deficit ratio, increase the issuance of ultra-long-term special government bonds, increase the issuance and use of local government special bonds, optimize the fiscal expenditure structure, and firmly grasp the bottom line of "three guarantees" at the grassroots level. According to the above-mentioned meeting arrangements, in 2025, deficit ratio will exceed 3%, ultra-long-term special national debt will exceed 1 trillion yuan, and the amount of new special debt will also exceed 3.9 trillion yuan. This means that fiscal policy will be more active next year. This is also in line with market expectations. A number of interviewed finance and taxation experts predict that deficit ratio may be 3.5%~4% next year, the ultra-long-term special national debt is expected to be 1.5 trillion yuan to 2 trillion yuan, and the amount of special debt is expected to be around 4.5 trillion yuan. Of course, this is only an expert's prediction or suggestion, and the final actual relevant data still needs to be announced during the National People's Congress in March next year. (CBN)In the end, the "tax reduction month" is now or never. The bank will make a profit to open a personal pension account. "You can get a shopping reduction when you open an account!" Recently, an employee of a big bank said that near the end of the year, the bank's marketing efforts for individual pension accounts have increased significantly. In addition to shopping coupons, tax relief, etc., some institutions even sent "opening an account to send gold" benefits, which is full of eye-catching effects. Since the trial operation, the personal pension system has developed for two years, and the related wealth management products and the number of accounts opened have continued to increase, but the "cold deposit" is still in sharp contrast with the "hot account opening". Insiders suggest that residents' willingness to invest after opening an account can be enhanced by enriching the product system and adjusting the withdrawal system. On December 11th, a person familiar with the matter revealed that a number of commercial banks have recently been informed that the relevant departments will hold a video conference on the full implementation of the personal pension system in the middle of this month, or it is related to the full expansion of the implementation scope of the personal pension system-"fully opening the gate" is ready to come. (Securities Times)Securities Daily: Vigorously boosting consumption is the focus of macro-policy at present. The the Political Bureau of the Communist Party of China (CPC) Central Committee meeting held on December 9 pointed out that it is necessary to vigorously boost consumption, improve investment efficiency and expand domestic demand in all directions. At present, China is in the stage of rapid growth of service consumption. In the future, all parties should continuously optimize and expand service supply, better stimulate the endogenous kinetic energy of service consumption, and provide strong support for expanding domestic demand and stimulating the economy. Promoting consumption is the main starting point for expanding domestic demand, and boosting consumption is the focus of macroeconomic policy. We firmly believe that with the continuous efforts of various policy initiatives, consumer confidence will continue to increase and consumption potential will continue to be released.


The rate of return of the money fund has reached a record low. Since December, the rate of return of the money fund has continued to decline. The annualized rate of return of Tianhong Yubao Money Fund, the largest, fell below 1.27% on the 7th, hitting a record low. According to industry insiders, the recently released "Self-discipline Initiative on Optimizing the Self-discipline Management of Non-bank Interbank Deposit Interest Rate" has a great impact on the Monetary Fund, and the superimposed interest rate is at a low level, and the yield of the Monetary Fund may continue to decline. As the income decreases, funds will look for new directions for allocation. (SSE)Imperial Commercial Bank of Canada: cut the preferential loan interest rate in Canada by 50 basis points to 5.45%.The Palestinian Islamic Jihad (Jehad) said that a delegation, including its leaders, arrived in Cairo on Wednesday to discuss the negotiation of the hostage-for-prisoner agreement.


The consumption potential of the trade-in policy continued to be released. According to the VAT invoice data released by State Taxation Administration of The People's Republic of China on December 11th, from January to November, the retail sales revenue of household audio-visual equipment such as televisions and household appliances such as refrigerators increased by 15.9% and 18.7% respectively. The sales revenue of furniture retailing and sanitary ware retailing increased by 16.8% and 12.5% respectively. Experts said that recent data from various aspects show that the effect of the trade-in policy for consumer goods has appeared and the consumption potential has been continuously released. In the next stage, with the continuous expansion of the coverage of the "two new" policies and the recent package of economic incremental policies, the policy effect is expected to be further revealed. (CSI)Morgan Stanley upgraded the rating of Jingao Technology to over-allocation, with a target price of RMB 27.36. Tongwei shares will be upgraded to overweight with a target price of RMB 39.53.Hungarian Prime Minister: Zelensky explicitly rejected the ceasefire on December 25th. Hungarian Prime Minister Orban said on the 11th local time that Ukrainian President Zelensky explicitly rejected the proposal of a ceasefire on December 25th. "Hungary's rotating presidency of the European Union came to an end, and we made the latest efforts for peace, proposing a ceasefire on December 25th and conducting a large-scale exchange of prisoners of war. Zelensky explicitly rejected and ruled out this possibility ". Hungarian Foreign Minister Jardot said on the same day that Orban mentioned the proposal of ceasefire and exchange of prisoners of war when talking with Putin, but Kiev rejected this proposal. It is said that the Hungarian government contacted Ukrainian Foreign Minister Sibiga and Ukrainian President's Office Director Ermak.

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